So much for the all important model guidance...MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH RELAXATION OF THIS SHEAR...AND ACTUALLY SHOW IT INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE ALL THIS SHEAR...ALL RELIABLE GUIDANCE RESTRENGTHENS THIS SYSTEM TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN A FEW DAYS. THIS REINTENSIFICATION DOES NOT SEEM VERY LIKELY AND THE NHC FORECAST IS MUCH LOWER THAN THE GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE POSSIBLE SHEAR DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...IT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING IF ERIKA DISSIPATED.
Anyone else find that intriguing??
~Dew
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Very interesting...
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