It's not all clear...

Happy Sky Watch Friday!! It's post time!!! (Please visit our host, Tom's Sky Watch blog (click here or on the logo to participate) to participate in Sky Watch Fridays. So much fun!!! I highly recommend it!) Today's photo is a sunrise that I caught one foggy day back on a cool day in March. I love the transition portions of the season... not just for the severe weather potential, but just for the nature of it, so similar to other natural changes in life...I especially love this shot because you can see the steam fog...

Steam Fog — Fog formed when water vapor is added to air that is much colder than the vapor's source; most commonly, when very cold air drifts across relatively warm water.

... above the pond in the bottom right portion of the shot, and you see the ground fog...

Ground Fog- fog that obscures less than 60% of the sky and does not extend to the base of any overhead clouds. However, the term is sometimes used to refer to radiation fog.

... in the background at the base of the trees. Magnificent simplicity.

Well, things sure do change drastically overnight. The disturbance #1 that was in the eastern Gulf of Mexico yesterday was completely depleted of its moisture as it dumped buckets of water (some needed, some not so much). In other words, Florida sucked it dry! It still has a nice spin to it, as it twirls off the coast of Jacksonville, and if it can build in some moisture, it might grow up and become something... but as it is, it poses no immediate threat. The Invest area 94L is going back and forth with its level of organization... one minute looking ripe for naming... the next minute looking like a disorganized mess! Currently, it is a mess, with what looks like an attempt at reorganization. Yesterday, when the hurricane hunter got in there, they found it to be disorganized enough to not call it a tropical depression. Looks like we need a crystal ball to figure out where Cristobal might pop up. West of 94L in the Caribbean we have another tropical disturbance that has a medium chance of survival. In fact...

THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY...BUT IT HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT.

It is expected to drop dangerously large amounts of rain in Nicaragua and Honduras, which they expect will result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Last, but certainly not least, we have the still tropically named Tropical Storm Bertha, having lost some intensity... but still going. The expectation is that she will turn to the east and eventually to the northeast drifting away out at sea. She is still a strong tropical storm. She was starting to look depleted and elongated, but she is once again starting to look quite impressive, especially considering... Wouldn't it be something if she made it far enough south and did a loop de loop??? Give'em something to really talk about, Bertha! Let me just go ahead and predict a NC landfall... just so I can say I called it. I'm thinking Wilmington, NC, category 2, like her namesake...

As for severe weather, once again, the northern plains are under fire with a significant area of slight risk for severe weather has been hatched out by the Storm Prediction Center. It is the season. As for yesterday...

TORNADO REPORT

2 NNW SHEBOYGAN FALLS SHEBOYGAN WI

TORNADO SEEN BY TWO CITIZENS. STARTED ABOUT 1/4 MILE NORTH OF INTERSECTION OF STH 23 AND STH 32 AND PROBABLY MOVED NORTHEAST FOR ABOUT 1.5 MILES OR SO. TREE AND POWER LINE(MKX)

I was JUST THERE! UGH! Busy year for tornadoes this year...As Annie points out in the comments... the supposedly non-existent Dewv@!d is well depicted in this graphic... notice the very blank area over south Georgia... sigh.Update... looks like the southwestern Caribbean wave earned Invest 95 status, though with its proximity to land, won't likely become everything it could have been, considering how well organized it is... also, the low that cut across Florida yesterday... has now popped back up on radar with a moderate shot at organization, now that moisture is feeding back into it. Amazingly, we are getting some fast moving cumulus (from the outer "bands" of this moisture-filled spinning low) as a result. Mikey just sent me this...Looks like we have Invest 96L. Cool. Thanks, Mikey.

3:45 Update: Wind is really picking up here, and sky is cloudy over quickly as the outer bands at the new area of interest 96L, just off the coast of Savannah/Jacksonville, with its "outer bands" really invading our neck of the woods, rapidly. My suspicions are that this one will get the Cristobal title.Toodles,
~Dewdrop