NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PRIMARILY OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA
SMALL PART OF NORTHERN TEXASSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY MID AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL INCLUDE A THREAT OF NOT ONLY TORNADOES BUT VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Watching TWC this morning, and hearing the banter leading up to today, I see that Oklahoma (the same area pummeled with a massive tornado outbreak a week and a half ago) is facing a moderate risk for today. There is a 90% chance according to TWC's Tor:Con index. According to SPC, there is only a 15% chance today that an EF2 or greater tornado will occur in their hatched area.
A Public Severe Weather Outlook has been issued and conditions are favorable for a significant outbreak again today and tonight.
We have seen reports of softball sized hail in parts of these areas with recent storms. I can't even imagine an updraft required to generate hail the size of softballs. That is amazing. I mean think about the weight of a 4.5" diameter chunk of ice. Imagine air strong enough to lift that up into a cloud to refreeze a layer of rain on it. Hard to imagine...
People in the highlighted areas should be mindful of the weather, especially in light of the fact that these storms will likely turn severe quickly. Be ready to get into your safe spot.
I read a note from my sis, quoting her daughter while they were watching TWC. She said, "Yay, they are making my Saturday beautiful for me..."
Have a beautiful day!
Posted by Dewdrop at 9:30 AM