Check it out, folks. It's coming!!! Tomorrow looks like the time... I would love to be able to chase this one or try to get pictures. I guess it all depends on the timing. It's hard for me to chase at night because I can't see anything, major rain impedes my ability to see the storm structure and anything that might be hidden in the rain, and during the daytime on Friday, I need to work, so that makes it all very difficult. What I need is a good weekend event. Then, I can chase until my heart's content... though, I doubt it would ever be content... I'm sure that I'll just end up hungry for more. It's looking like a daytime event though. What I might do is chase right after work and let hubby take darling daughter to practice. Maybe, I'll even get off a little early to chase some. It'll be a good test of my weather radio, tv with digital alerts, which I have programmed for several counties in the area.
This just in from the NWS: SUPERCELLS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES. lol Boy, that's shocking news. That was funny to read in the local discussion... It's like duh, folks. We know this... happens to be one reason for suffering from SDS. It looks like models are in agreement now, the necessary moisture has arrived, and we will have a major event, lightning, supercells, winds and since supercells can produce tornadoes... tornadoes...!
Let it storm, let it storm, let it storm.
Update: Is that a timeframe I see??? WITH STRONGEST INSTABILITY LIKELY RELEGATED TO THE CNTRL/ERN FL PNHDL INTO NRN FL AND SRN GA DURING THE AFTN. The afternoon then... hey, that works perfectly for me!!!
~Dewdrop
Thursday, January 04, 2007
Slight Risk, oh yeah, baby!!! Come to Dewdrop!
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FRIDAY...LOCAL AREA COMMENCES IN WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
ReplyDeleteAPPROACH. A SQUALL LINE WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AND
TRAVERSE THE AREA DURING DAYTIME. DEW POINTS WILL SURGE INTO
THE MID 60S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND MAY EVEN APPROACH 70 ALONG
THE COAST. DAYTIME HEATING WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF THE
SQUALL LINE AND LIFT WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH.
STRONG LOW/UPPER JETS AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE YIELDING INCREASING
DEEP LYR SHEAR AND BUOYANCY FORECAST AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE AND LINEAR
SQUALL LINE. THIS REFLECTED IN GFS 18Z FRI MODEL WHICH SHOWS H5
50-70KT JET AND H85 45KT JET...LI`S TO -5 AND CAPES EXCEEDING 1000
J/KG...40-45KT 0-6KM BULK SHEAR...80M/S 0-1KM HELICITY. BY
00Z...INDICES LESS IMPRESSIVE.
SO SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL FORMATION, BUT LINEAR STORM
MODE IS EXPECTED TO BE DOMINANT WITH THE SQUALL LINE, WITH PERHAPS
SOME SUPERCELLS OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE.
SUPERCELL!!!
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