Big day number 2...

The Moderate Risk area for today almost covers new daddy, Tennessee Mike's area (Looks like Mary Katherine brought more than just a cold front - future wx geek, no doubt) and almost dips down into Alabama Mike's neck of the woods. At a minimal, they are solidly in place for the slight risk. Severe weather abound. The SPC has issued yet another Public Severe Weather Outlook, citing a chance for the development of a few strong and possibly long-track tornadoes. It's actually very strong wording being offered by the SPC.

WITH JET STREAM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 120 MPH AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO SERVE AS FUEL...THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SUPERCELLS. WITH A BROAD AREA OF FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...THESE ROTATING STORMS COULD BECOME LONG-LIVED AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG AND POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

Yes, that read in excess of 120mph. You can easily make out the low pressure system on the radar. What a phenomenal storm system. I heard some reports yesterday regarding the severe weather that battered the central plains. Fourteen tornado reports in all, mostly in the Missouri area, leaving two fatalities in their wake, destroying homes, and obliterating an Octoberfest celebration in Tulsa, leaving one person critically injured and injuring some others. So far, there are 156 wind damage reports from yesterday's storm. That storm was moving quickly across the plains yesterday, just sort of barreling down anything in its path. That certainly looks like more of a spring storm report map than a fall one... what a bizarre year! These are fast moving storms, people seem to have been caught off guard (I mean, come on an Octoberfest celebration yesterday in Tulsa, do they even turn on TWC...?) Keep those NOAA weather radios tuned in folks...

Now, as for tomorrow... I am still solidly within the slight risk area, and though lingering cloud cover will attempt to ruin our instability... the deep-layer winds should compensate some for that... really, the wording is pretty juicy, so I'll let them say it:

WHILE LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD ACT TO LIMIT STORM INTENSITY TO SOME DEGREE...THIS NEGATIVE WILL BE AT LEAST SOMEWHAT COMPENSATED FOR BY FAVORABLY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD. WITH SHEAR ACTING TO ENHANCE/SUSTAIN ORGANIZED STORMS -- INCLUDING SMALL-SCALE LINES/BOWS AND SOME SUPERCELLS...EXPECT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER COVERAGE. MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HAIL SHOULD BE A LESSER THREAT IN GENERAL -- AS IS TYPICAL IN LOW CAPE/HIGH SHEAR SITUATIONS.

SUPERCELLS!!! Just what Dr. SDS ordered for my symptoms. For the time being, I will be happy with the wet stuff we currently have headed this way. It might ruin my instability, but if it will add some pressure to my shower, it will be good enough for me. I have some exciting plans tomorrow, and I will hopefully have a nice photogenic chase spot later tomorrow. I am charging batteries now, tripod loaded and ready to go.

That's all I've got. If things get wild and crazy, I'll let you know.

Carolina Mike just pointed something out to me... Looky, looky at the junk I've got headed this way!!! Awesomeness. I need to call my friend in Navarre. This should be an interesting day!

Check the team blog for updates...

Ciao,
~Dewdrop