After the sun goes down

MY SKY WATCH POST IS BELOW>>> check it out!

My friend, Mikey is accusing me of being a weather hog on account of the next three days' forecasts... tut tut, it looks like rain.
Today:

SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY SUPPORT A FEW LONGER LIVED/BANDED STORM STRUCTURES THAT COULD YIELD ISOLD NEAR-SVR HAIL. MODERATE DEEP SHEAR AND FAIRLY RICH MOISTURE INFLOW SUGGEST A CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD SVR WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES STILL APPEAR TOO LOW IN THIS REGION TO WARRANT UPGRADE TO A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK AREA ATTM

Tomorrow:

STORMS WILL EXIST IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW AND SUFFICIENT BULK SHEAR FOR SPLITTING UPDRAFTS AND BOWING SEGMENTS. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

INITIAL ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...AND BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING SHOULD BE SLOW DUE TO EXPECTED WIDESPREAD CLOUDS. THIS ALONG WITH TENDENCY FOR THE LOW LEVEL JET TO DECREASE WITH TIME LOWERS CONFIDENCE IN AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.

Sunday:

MODELS SUGGEST SOME AGEOSTROPHIC RESPONSE WILL OCCUR IN WARM SECTOR WITH AN INCREASE IN WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET FORECAST OVER THE NERN GULF AND NRN FL DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

IT APPEARS THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR DESPITE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS.

AGEOSTROPHIC- A wind that is not in geostrophic (GEOSTROPHIC- This is a balance between the pressure gradient and Coriolis forces. A zonal wind with a constant wind speed in the upper troposphere in the middle latitudes is an example of a geostrophic wind.) balance. An ageostrophic wind will have vertical motions. Shortwaves and jet streaks cause ageostrophic flow.

So, here's the translation... although there will exist some parameters which would normally warrant a slight risk, the localized presence of a prominent Dewvoid cycle tends, too often, to negate all severe parameters and result in... just a little rain. At least they are forecasting the Dewvoid now!

[A plane burns after it crashed into a house in Clarence Center, N.Y., Thursday Feb. 12, 2009. Authorities say it was Continental Airlines Flight 3407 operated by Colgan Air.
(AP Photo/David Duprey)] I have mentioned before that I do not watch the news. I watch The Weather Channel (TWC) in the morning to get my radar fix and find out what the golf forecast is... I'll give that a moment to sink in... Well, this morning, the folks at the weather channel were trying to make a weather related story out of the tragic plane crash in New York last night, which stole the lives of 50 people, including 1 at the home it crashed into... they tried to imply that the fog, wind and light snow might have caused the horrific crash. They also continually brought up that several other planes were reporting that ice was forming on their wings. The pilot of Continental commuter flight 3407 did not issue a mayday... every thing seemed fine at last communication...

the controller tried to contact the plane but heard no response. After a pause, he tried to contact the plane again. ~source

Sources on the ground indicate that they heard sputtering and odd noises, odd from they are accustomed to hearing givent their proximity to the airport even. Regardless of the cause of the crash, the loved ones of those who perished are suffering greatly. God be with them.

I am going to close out today with some captures of yesterday's amazing evening sky. I loved the colors that the cirrus clouds were grabbing of the setting sun.These shots were taken within moments of each other. I was blown away by the magnificence of the scene.

Tomorrow is Valentine's Day. I plan to spend it with my wonderful Valentine... perhaps even storm chasing... HA!

Happy Friday!
~Dewdrop