Well, after what might have seemed to many storm chasers as an unending winter season, it looks as if we are finally breaking into a pattern of the weather that storm chasers crave. With the Oklahoma EF2 on Monday, chasers got just a tease of what might be to come if the weather pans out the way forecasters are suggesting. The expectation is that once these severe storms start, we might be in for a doozy of a season. Today's risk has hatched out 2 areas, where the Storm Prediction Center forecasts a 10% risk for tornadoes. Some of my chaser friends will be on these storms today. Go Bridget!These risk areas fall within a much larger area expected to have a slight risk for severe weather today.As for me here in my neck of the woods, our less than a slight risk potential (we are in the dreaded "see text" region)Anyone who has followed by blog for any amount of time knows that if weather were going to happen in my neck of the woods, it would require one of the following situations, which would render the storm non-chaseable:
1). A night storm. I don't do night storms.
2). I am responsible for Mini-Dew at the time of the storm, and I don't take her chasing with me.
3). The weather occurs on a Thursday, payroll day, the only day I can't break away from work...
Well, scenario 3 it is... looks like we'll have a slight risk outlined for tomorrow by the end of the day. They just aren't keen on forecasting the Dewvoid.
Here's what they are saying about Thursday's storms:
RELATIVELY STRONG/VEERING LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AND/OR MAINTENANCE OF SMALL QUASI-LINEAR CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND AND/OR A TORNADO. THE DEGREE OF ONGOING/EARLY DAY CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION COMPLICATES THE SCENARIO...BUT SOME SURFACE BASED CONVECTIVE UPSWING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH FL/FAR SOUTHERN GA (that's me!) DURING THE DAY PROVIDED SUFFICIENT DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ALONG/SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT (meaning, cloud cover will have to subside for any action, which I can't chase, so I'd rather just not have any...)Have a beautiful day!!