A little SDS Therapy for the Midwest before Hybernation sets in...

Well, with a historic turn out and President-Elect Obama earning more votes than any other candidate in history, people are recovering from varying emotions. I have resigned myself to putting my prayers behind the man who was elected. He is not there accidentally. Of course, the leading stories at TWC were Marshall Seese's retirement and Barack's position on the climate?! Good grief.

OK, OK, enough about that. My blog is starting to look entirely too political!!! Back to weather... ...that area in the western Caribbean near Cape Thanks to God... I mean Cabo Gracios a Dios... has got, now a high probability of development and is expected to at least be designated as a Tropical Depression within the next couple of days. Recon flight is standing by...

Aside from that, check it out folks... we now have a moderate risk area outlined for the midwest. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think this might be the first of the secondary season.

AREA WILL BE UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK AT 1630Z.

12Z MODEL DATA ARE CONSISTENT WITH 00Z HIGH RESOLUTION DATA SETS IN SUGGESTING THAT THE MOST INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER S-CNTRL/SERN KS INTO N-CNTRL/NERN OK LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THIS STORM ACTIVITY WILL BE FOCUSED FROM NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT OF COLD FRONT/DRYLINE SWD WHERE STORM MODE IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE DISCRETE IN NATURE. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND RATHER STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO.

My friend, Oklahoma Steve is planning to go out for some SDS therapy before the long winter months. Best wishes to Steve and all the other chasers going after a much more charged event than originally expected. The outlook for today with the Storm Prediction Center has not been updated today, but you can click on the link to check it out once it has been.That said, it's time for the new list of

Searches that have resulted in complete DEW-ness!

1. Marshall Seese
2. Marshall Seese, how old? (Wow, how am I getting hits for this guy before today???)
3. Can't wait to move to Georgia (Must be all the great weather... NOT!)
4. Tornado vs. hurricane vs. twister (A tornado and a twister are the same... a hurricane is a huge broad area of circulation, only visible as such in satellite images... can be about 300 times the size of a tornado or twister.)
5. Sky Diving Wedding Georgia Mountains (Are you NUTS?! Who skydives in the mountains?!)
6. Quest for gtb (Dearest gtb, don't arrange for a skydiving wedding... that is not your quest!)
7. My life as a storm chaser (Storm chaser life rocks!)
8. Who travels with a storm chaser (Why? You wanna come along?)
9. Georgia Tornado Chasers (Is that a club? I want to join!!)
10. Dangerous chasers of the world(Wait for it....)
11. Storm chaser fatalities (yikes...)
12. How does dew looks in autumn weather (Well, pretty bundled up. I am not a big fan of cold, so I layer a lot. I don't want to risk turning into a dewdropcicle... or heaven forbid... FROST... EEK!)

There you have it... people never cease (not Seese) to amaze me.Have a lovely autumn dew day...
~Dewdrop

Oh, the weather outside is boring...

This morning's weather news is all about the rain... rain, rain, everywhere... except here. We have had rain in the forecast since this past weekend, and I haven't seen a drop. Meanwhile, everywhere else in the country (and even in other countries), there are serious flooding concerns. There really needs to be a way to channel water from locations of over-abundance to drought-stricken areas... Don't you think???

Yesterday, while I was driving home, I noticed several cumulus towers, which I found very exciting. I haven't seen towers in a while, and I am hopeful that it is a sign of chaseability in my near future. Of course, like I said, nothing materialized, but at least some of the elements were present for me. I did get reports from Rick of thunder well to my west... and from Meso Mike (who appears to be on a blogging strike, but I linked him anyhow, just to be nice...) of cloud-top lightning last night well to my northeast... sigh. Anyways, I stopped to snap a few shots, and that's when I saw these pretty flowers (posted above) on the side of the road. Here are my sky shots...Onto the weather... it appears that Oklahoma has decided to hog all of the upcoming weather. Weather hogs... At this point, the SPC has outlined an area of slight risk for severe weather today in eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, the concern of large hail being the greatest threat... and here, we are expecting some sea breeze interaction with an approaching cold front to fire things up (thunderstorms and such). They mentioned:

ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR.

As a result of this, I have recommended that bf dress the jeep. No fun riding around in a swimming pool. We'll see what happens... since last night and the night before and the entire weekend before were precipitation-less, I am not feeling too convected... Tomorrow is a big day in the SPC's forecast. They have outlined Oklahoma (again...) and part of Texas to be in an area of moderate risk for severe weather. There is powerful wording with this one, as they show that the environment will be very unstable with an SBCAPE at or around 2500 J per kg!!! Haven't seen that kind of instability forecast since last year, looks like the season has arrived. The cap's as good as busted. Chasers should be abound...

AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE (SEVERE) HAIL...HIGH WIND AND TORNADOES

Bf and I plan to visit family and friends up near Atlanta this weekend. Currently, the SPC has highlighted almost the entire state of Georgia to have severe weather on Saturday... a day 4 severe forecast... chasetunity!!! Yeah, yeah, so it's the squalled out leftovers of the exciting stuff they are playing with in Oklahoma and Texas tomorrow... but we could get a little something, something... you know how those embedded supercells can be.

We'll see what happens...
~Dewdrop