SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A DECK OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COVERING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA... AND IT HAS BEEN SPREADING INTO OUR SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA ZONES DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. Mini-Dew was concerned about this (the low clouds, they were very low) on the way to school today. I had to assure her the the low clouds were OK. She was bothered by them for some reason... the fact that she notices is so awesome, though... That's my girl, keeping her eyes on the sky... The good news is that Tim expects the cloudy blanket to be pushed aside by high and mid level clouds approaching from the west, in part, allowing for a chance at some sun... as the day moves forward. Sounds like a battle of the clouds to me. I do hope the sun peaks through some. It's so dreary looking out there.
THE NEXT TROUGH IS NOW FORECAST TO AMPLIFY A BIT MORE THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT... RESULTING IN A GREATER CHANCE OF RAIN. THE AFOREMENTIONED BACKDOOR FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE GA-AL BORDER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND BECOME A CONVERGENCE ZONE ON SATURDAY. INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND Q-G FORCING WILL BRING OUR RAIN CHANCES UP IN THE 40-50 PERCENT RANGE. WE EXPECT QUITE A BIT OF CLOUD COVER THROUGH SATURDAY... BUT IF THERE ARE ANY SIGNIFICANT BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON... CONDITIONS COULD SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE 500 MB TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE -17 TO -20 DEGREE C RANGE OVER THE REGION. THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAGNITUDE WILL BE AROUND 35 KT... WHICH IS ON THE LOW END FOR VALUES THAT WOULD SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION AND UPDRAFT ROTATION. THUS A FEW STORMS COULD POSE A HAIL THREAT... BUT THERE ARE A LOT OF IFS AND MARGINAL CONDITIONS SO WE DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD THREAT AT THIS TIME. THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CLEAR THE REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT... OK, so maybe, perhaps, if... it could possibly be a slight chance for a possibility of perhaps something if a specific set of events occur... How's that for forecasting...? Definitely not one to get my hopes up about, but it could make for a fun Saturday afternoon. I know that chasing hail is not a good idea... but if I happen to come across some, that'd be cool. THE NEXT CHANCE OF COLDER AIR WILL BE FRIDAY OR SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION All in all, a potentially interesting scenario. I am intrigued, but that's about all. I'm not hopeful, but I'll continue to watch and see how things go. If...
The weekend is upon us... Happy Friday, everyone!
Toodaloo,
~Dewdrop
Friday, March 09, 2007
Maybe, possibly, perhaps, if...
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